The School of Odds

Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins

2026-07-19 18:21 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 60.16%1.66fair odd
EV -0.731%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.11%60.15%60.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6565%63%63%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 39.84%2.51fair odd
EV -0.407%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.17%39.89%39.85%41.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.5044%42%42%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.731%E -0.443%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 20:50
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:35
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.14%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.407%E -0.163%K -0.272%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.14%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.806%E -0.324%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 18:25
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.14%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.806%E -0.324%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.14%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.14%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:24
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 21:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:25
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.78%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:50
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.34%E -2.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.20%E -1.32%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.34%E -2.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.34%E -2.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:25
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.34%E -2.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 21:20
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.34%E -2.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:25
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.34%E -2.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.58%E -3.27%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 17:40
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.59%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 21:15
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.59%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 18:20
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:25
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 17:40
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:20
betano_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:24
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 18:24
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.38%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.37%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 18:25
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-18 20:35
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-18 21:30
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-07-18 21:25
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.74%9.6%2026-07-18 21:25
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 57.92%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%12.1%2026-07-18 21:20