A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-07-19 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 10–1 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 61.08%1.64odd justa
EV +0.173%
Vantagem +0.105%
Kelly +0.270%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.76%60.92%61.13%63.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.571.561.6467.57%63.87%64.10%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 38.92%2.57odd justa
EV +0.411%
Vantagem +0.159%
Kelly +0.260%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.72%39.08%38.87%41.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.232.412.402.5844.84%41.55%41.67%38.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV +0.411%E +0.159%K +0.260%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-19 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -0.757%E -0.297%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 18:20
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.15%E -0.451%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.53%E -0.607%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 18:12
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.53%E -0.607%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 18:13
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 13:55
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 17:20
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 18:10
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 16:30
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 18:19
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 18:19
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:19
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.87%E -1.57%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 18:20
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 18:10
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 15:15
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 15:14
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 17:40
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 18:19
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 18:19
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:19
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 18:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:19
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:19
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV +0.173%E +0.105%K +0.270%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -5.43%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 04:50
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 18:20
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:15
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 18:20
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:08
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:08
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 17:50
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 18:19
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.38%E -5.59%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 18:20
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 18:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 22:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 15:55
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 18:10
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -8.15%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.15%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 18:19
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 16:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:45
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -9.71%E -4.18%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 18:20
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -9.71%E -4.18%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 18:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 18:20
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 18:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.43%E -5.53%K -9.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -13.21%E -5.92%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-07-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 18:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-19 18:20
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-19 08:30
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-19 18:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-19 18:20
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-07-19 18:20
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%12.1%2026-07-19 18:20