La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 61.08%1.64momio equitativo
EV +0.173%
Ventaja +0.105%
Kelly +0.270%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.76%60.92%61.13%63.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.571.561.6467.57%63.87%64.10%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Minnesota Twins (Visitante)
Predicción 38.92%2.57momio equitativo
EV +0.411%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.260%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.72%39.08%38.87%41.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.412.402.5844.84%41.55%41.67%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV +0.411%E +0.159%K +0.260%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -0.757%E -0.297%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.15%E -0.451%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.53%E -0.607%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-19 18:12 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.53%E -0.607%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-19 18:13 |
| Everygame | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 13:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-19 17:20 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 16:30 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.87%E -1.57%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 15:15 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 15:14 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 18:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV +0.173%E +0.105%K +0.270%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -5.43%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 04:50 |
| GTbets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-19 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 15:15 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 18:08 |
| betano_uk | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 18:08 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.38%E -5.59%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 22:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 15:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -8.15%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.15%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 13:45 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 15:15 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -9.71%E -4.18%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -9.71%E -4.18%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.43%E -5.53%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -13.21%E -5.92%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-07-19 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-19 08:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 2.8% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17% | 12.1% | 2026-07-19 18:20 |