مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins

البداية: 2026-07-19 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 10–1 Minnesota Twins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.08%1.64السعر العادل
EV +0.173%
الأفضلية +0.105%
Kelly +0.270%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.76%60.92%61.13%63.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.571.561.6467.57%63.87%64.10%60.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Minnesota Twins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.92%2.57السعر العادل
EV +0.411%
الأفضلية +0.159%
Kelly +0.260%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.72%39.08%38.87%41.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.232.412.402.5844.84%41.55%41.67%38.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV +0.411%E +0.159%K +0.260%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-19 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -0.757%E -0.297%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 18:20
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.15%E -0.451%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.53%E -0.607%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 18:12
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.53%E -0.607%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 18:13
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 13:55
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 17:20
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 18:10
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 16:30
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 18:19
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 18:19
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:19
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.87%E -1.57%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 18:20
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 18:10
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 15:15
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 15:14
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 17:40
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 18:19
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 18:19
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:19
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 18:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:19
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:19
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV +0.173%E +0.105%K +0.270%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -5.43%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 04:50
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 18:20
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:15
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 18:20
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:08
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 18:08
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 17:50
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.94%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 18:19
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.38%E -5.59%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 18:20
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 18:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 22:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 15:55
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 18:10
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -8.15%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.15%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 18:19
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 16:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:45
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:20
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -9.71%E -4.18%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 18:20
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -9.71%E -4.18%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 18:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 18:20
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -2.27%E -1.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 18:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.43%E -5.53%K -9.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -13.21%E -5.92%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-07-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 18:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-19 18:20
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-19 08:30
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-19 18:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-19 18:20
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-07-19 18:20
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%12.1%2026-07-19 18:20