Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 23:15 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 2–1 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV +0.852%
Edge +0.396%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.92%46.85%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.82%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 53.09%1.88fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.962%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.08%53.15%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.84%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 46.91%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 53.09%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.852%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.852%E +0.396%K +0.741%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:10
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.556%E -0.262%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 23:00
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.31%E -1.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 19:58
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 20:17
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:44
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.96%E -0.939%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.78%E -0.962%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-03 23:00
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.96%E -0.939%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 19:55
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:45
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 19:55
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:45
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 20:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 22:08
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 19:44
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 21:09
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 20:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 19:45
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:20
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 21:35
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:45
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:44
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:54
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:58
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 22:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 20:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 20:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 19:44
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 20:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:14
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.65%E -3.34%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.12%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 20:25
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:03
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 20:45
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-09-03 23:10
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62%0.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-09-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-09-03 23:10
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-09-03 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-09-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-09-03 23:05
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-03 20:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-03 23:00
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-09-03 23:05