Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-03 23:15 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 49.04%2.04fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.59%49.08%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.941.942.0154.35%51.66%51.55%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 50.96%1.96fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.92%51.05%51.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.871.871.9356.18%53.45%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 49.04%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 50.96%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.01, with an expected value of -1.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.43%E -0.713%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.92%E -0.962%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.92%E -0.962%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.92%E -0.962%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 18:05
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.64%E -0.852%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.64%E -0.852%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 20:14
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.59%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.59%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:55
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.30%E -4.44%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -8.78%E -4.90%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.77%E -5.31%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.29%E -5.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-02 21:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-02 21:55
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-09-02 22:30
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-09-02 22:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%9.9%2026-09-02 19:00