StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-03 23:15 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

35 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 49.03%2.04faire Quote
EV +10.31%
Vorteil +4.58%
Kelly +8.25%
Wachstum +0.851%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.86%48.57%48.95%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.841.941.942.2554.35%51.44%51.55%44.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Auswärts)

Prognose 50.97%1.96faire Quote
EV -1.62%
Vorteil -0.841%
Kelly -1.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%51.43%51.05%58.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.621.861.871.9361.73%53.62%53.48%51.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 49.03%; Milwaukee Brewers (Auswärts): 50.97%. Für Chicago Cubs (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.04. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.25 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +10.31%.

Wettanbieterquoten (35 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +10.31%E +4.58%K +8.25%G +0.851%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -17.42%E -10.76%K -28.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:59
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.45%E -0.724%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 18:05
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.44%E -1.22%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.62%E -0.841%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.841%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 20:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 23:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:55
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -8.76%E -4.89%K -11.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.79%E -5.32%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.27%E -5.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 19:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-02 21:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-02 21:55
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-09-02 22:30
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%3.4%2026-09-02 22:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%9.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Arbitrage (32 Kombinationen) +3.89%BoyleSports 2.25 (46.2%) / 1xBet 1.93 (53.8%)Alle 32 Kombinationen anzeigen
Chicago Cubs (Heim)Milwaukee Brewers (Auswärts)Marge
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (46.2%)1xBet🎯 1.93 (53.8%)+3.89%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (46.2%)FanDuel🎯 1.93 (53.8%)+3.89%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)BetOnline.ag🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)LowVig.ag🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)GTbets🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)Bovada🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)William Hill🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.8%)Caesars🎯 1.90 (54.2%)+3.01%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.8%)Paddy Power🎯 1.90 (54.2%)+3.01%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.8%)SportsBet🎯 1.90 (54.2%)+3.01%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.5%)Bet Right🎯 1.88 (54.5%)+2.42%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)DraftKings🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Fanatics🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)betfred_uk🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)PlayUp🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)BetMGM🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)theScore Bet🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Betr (AU)🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Neds🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.3%)Betclic (FR)🎯 1.86 (54.7%)+1.82%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.3%)Winamax (DE)🎯 1.86 (54.7%)+1.82%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)Coral🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)888sport🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)Bet Victor🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (44.9%)ReBet🎯 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%