Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-03 23:15 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 49.03%2.04cote équitable
EV +10.31%
Avantage +4.58%
Kelly +8.25%
Croissance +0.851%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%48.57%48.95%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.841.941.942.2554.35%51.44%51.55%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.97%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.841%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.43%51.05%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.861.871.9361.73%53.62%53.48%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 49.03% ; Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur) : 50.97%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.04. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.25, pour une espérance positive de +10.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +10.31%E +4.58%K +8.25%G +0.851%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -17.42%E -10.76%K -28.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:59
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.45%E -0.724%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:35
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 18:05
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.44%E -1.22%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.62%E -0.841%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:45
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.841%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 20:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 23:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:55
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -8.76%E -4.89%K -11.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.79%E -5.32%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.27%E -5.21%K -11.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-02 21:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-02 21:55
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-09-02 22:30
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%3.4%2026-09-02 22:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%9.9%2026-09-02 19:00
Arbitrage (32 combinaisons) +3.89%BoyleSports 2.25 (46.2%) / 1xBet 1.93 (53.8%)Afficher les 32 combinaisons
Chicago Cubs (Local)Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)Marge
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (46.2%)1xBet🎯 1.93 (53.8%)+3.89%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (46.2%)FanDuel🎯 1.93 (53.8%)+3.89%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)BetOnline.ag🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)LowVig.ag🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)GTbets🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)Bovada🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.9%)William Hill🎯 1.91 (54.1%)+3.31%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.8%)Caesars🎯 1.90 (54.2%)+3.01%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.8%)Paddy Power🎯 1.90 (54.2%)+3.01%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.8%)SportsBet🎯 1.90 (54.2%)+3.01%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.5%)Bet Right🎯 1.88 (54.5%)+2.42%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)DraftKings🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Fanatics🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)betfred_uk🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)PlayUp🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)BetMGM🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)theScore Bet🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Betr (AU)🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.4%)Neds🎯 1.87 (54.6%)+2.12%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.3%)Betclic (FR)🎯 1.86 (54.7%)+1.82%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.3%)Winamax (DE)🎯 1.86 (54.7%)+1.82%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)Coral🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)888sport🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)Bet Victor🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (45.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.85 (54.9%)+1.52%
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (44.9%)ReBet🎯 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%