Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-09-03 23:15 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 2–1 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 46.91%2.13odd justa
EV +0.852%
Vantagem +0.396%
Kelly +0.741%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.92%46.85%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.82%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.09%1.88odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.962%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.08%53.15%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.84%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 46.91%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 53.09%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.852%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.852%E +0.396%K +0.741%G +0.006%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:10
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.556%E -0.262%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 23:00
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.31%E -1.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 19:58
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 20:17
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:44
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.49%E -0.711%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:45
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.96%E -0.939%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.78%E -0.962%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-03 23:00
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.96%E -0.939%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 19:55
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:45
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 19:55
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:45
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 20:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 22:08
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 19:44
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 21:09
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 20:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 19:45
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:20
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 21:35
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:45
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:44
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:54
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:58
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 22:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 20:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 20:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 19:44
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 20:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:14
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.65%E -3.34%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.12%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 20:25
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:03
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 20:45
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 22:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-09-03 23:10
ProphetX◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62%0.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-09-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-09-03 23:10
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-09-03 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-09-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-09-03 23:05
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-03 20:45
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-03 23:00
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-09-03 23:05