Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-28 18:21 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 63.50%1.57fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.44%63.51%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.53%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 36.50%2.74fair odd
EV +0.373%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.213%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.90%36.56%36.49%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.602.7540.82%38.33%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 63.50%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 36.50%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.373%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -2.21%E -1.43%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV +0.373%E +0.136%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.3%2026-08-27 22:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.09%E -0.401%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.09%E -0.401%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 19:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-27 19:59
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-27 23:25
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.21%E -1.43%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.18%E -0.814%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-27 20:01
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.91%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-28 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 19:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 21:00
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.01%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 21:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.65%E -4.53%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 19:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 20:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.48%E -2.29%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 20:01
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:53
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:45
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 23:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.02%E -4.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.02%E -4.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.65%E -4.53%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.02%E -4.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 19:50
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 21:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.48%E -2.29%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 20:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 20:59
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.65%E -4.53%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.48%E -2.29%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.65%E -4.53%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-08-28 00:20
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-27 19:50
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%6.9%2026-08-28 00:45
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%7.0%2026-08-28 00:35
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%9.8%2026-08-27 22:25
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%10.3%2026-08-27 21:01