Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-08-28 18:21 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 8–10 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 64.33%1.55quota equa
EV +0.351%
Vantaggio +0.225%
Kelly +0.626%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.86%64.36%64.34%65.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.491.501.5671.43%67.12%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.67%2.80quota equa
EV +2.02%
Vantaggio +0.708%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.15%35.64%35.66%37.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.652.652.8640.00%37.68%37.74%34.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chicago Cubs (Casa): 64.33%; Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta): 35.67%. Per Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.80. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.86, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.02%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV +2.02%E +0.708%K +1.09%G +0.022%2.1%2026-08-28 18:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV -0.117%E -0.042%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-28 15:20
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.117%E -0.042%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -0.473%E -0.170%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-28 18:00
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -6.08%E -4.17%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -0.830%E -0.299%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.19%E -0.428%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-28 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -1.54%E -0.559%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-28 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 18:20
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -2.61%E -0.957%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.97%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-28 17:55
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.97%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-28 15:29
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 18:15
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.94%E -7.10%K -24.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.40%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:18
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.75%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.75%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 18:20
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 17:10
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.08%E -4.17%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 18:20
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV +0.351%E +0.225%K +0.626%G +0.002%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 18:01
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 18:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 08:35
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 15:20
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 18:20
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:35
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:35
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 09:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 17:50
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.32%E -3.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 18:20
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.32%E -3.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 17:51
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:20
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-08-28 18:20
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-28 16:01
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-28 16:50
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-08-28 18:20
BetOpenly◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%2.2%2026-08-28 18:19
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-08-28 18:20