StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-28 18:21 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 63.50%1.57faire Quote
EV -2.21%
Vorteil -1.43%
Kelly -4.09%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.56%63.44%63.51%64.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.52%66.67%64.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.50%2.74faire Quote
EV +0.373%
Vorteil +0.136%
Kelly +0.213%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.90%36.56%36.49%38.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.452.612.602.7540.82%38.33%38.46%36.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 63.50%; Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts): 36.50%. Für Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.74. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.75 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.373%.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -2.21%E -1.43%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV +0.373%E +0.136%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.3%2026-08-27 22:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.09%E -0.401%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.09%E -0.401%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 19:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-27 19:59
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-27 23:25
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.21%E -1.43%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.18%E -0.814%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-27 20:01
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.91%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-28 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 19:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.48%E -2.29%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.01%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 21:00
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.01%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 21:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.65%E -4.53%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 19:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 20:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.48%E -2.29%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 20:01
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:53
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:45
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 23:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.02%E -4.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.02%E -4.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.65%E -4.53%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.02%E -4.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 19:50
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 21:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.48%E -2.29%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:59
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.75%E -3.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 20:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 20:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.65%E -4.53%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-27 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 01:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.65%E -4.53%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 21:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-08-28 00:20
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-27 19:50
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%2.4%2026-08-28 01:25
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%6.3%2026-08-28 01:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%10.3%2026-08-27 21:01