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Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 64.33%1.55momio equitativo
EV +0.351%
Ventaja +0.225%
Kelly +0.626%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.86%64.36%64.34%65.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5671.43%67.12%66.67%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 35.67%2.80momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +0.708%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%35.64%35.66%37.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.652.8640.00%37.68%37.74%34.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 64.33%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 35.67%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.80. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.86, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.02%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV +2.02%E +0.708%K +1.09%G +0.022% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV -0.117%E -0.042%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.117%E -0.042%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -0.473%E -0.170%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -6.08%E -4.17%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -0.830%E -0.299%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.19%E -0.428%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -1.54%E -0.559%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -2.61%E -0.957%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.97%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.97%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-28 15:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.94%E -7.10%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.40%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 18:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.75%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.75%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.08%E -4.17%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV +0.351%E +0.225%K +0.626%G +0.002% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 18:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 08:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.32%E -3.24%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.32%E -3.24%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 17:51 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 16:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60% | 2.2% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 2.2% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |