Langue:Français
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prévision 64.33%1.55cote équitable
EV +0.351%
Avantage +0.225%
Kelly +0.626%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.86%64.36%64.34%65.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5671.43%67.12%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.67%2.80cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +0.708%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 2.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.15%35.64%35.66%37.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.652.8640.00%37.68%37.74%34.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 64.33% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 35.67%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.80. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.86, soit une espérance positive de +2.02%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV +2.02%E +0.708%K +1.09%G +0.022% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV -0.117%E -0.042%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.117%E -0.042%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -0.473%E -0.170%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -6.08%E -4.17%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -0.830%E -0.299%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.19%E -0.428%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -1.54%E -0.559%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -2.61%E -0.957%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.97%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.97%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-28 15:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.94%E -7.10%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.40%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 18:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.75%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.75%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.08%E -4.17%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV +0.351%E +0.225%K +0.626%G +0.002% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 18:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 08:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.32%E -3.24%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -8.32%E -3.24%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.80%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 17:51 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 16:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60% | 2.2% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 2.2% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |