Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 65.90%1.52fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.77%65.88%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.60%68.49%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 34.10%2.93fair odd
EV -0.765%
Edge -0.263%
Kelly -0.401%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.23%34.12%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.792.9138.46%36.09%35.84%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 65.90%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 34.10%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.91, with an expected value of -0.765%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.765%E -0.263%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.13%E -0.742%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.47%E -0.864%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.20%E -1.87%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.15%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.52%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.08%E -5.02%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 00:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.45% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.55% | 11.6% | 2026-05-05 00:25 |