A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-05 00:50 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 5–4 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 65.90%1.52odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -3.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.16%65.77%65.88%66.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.60%68.49%67.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 34.10%2.93odd justa
EV -0.765%
Vantagem -0.263%
Kelly -0.401%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.18%34.23%34.12%35.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.792.9138.46%36.09%35.84%34.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-05 00:09
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:09
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.765%E -0.263%K -0.401%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 00:40
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 00:09
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 00:09
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.13%E -0.742%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 00:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.47%E -0.864%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 00:09
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 00:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:10
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.20%E -1.87%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 00:09
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:09
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:09
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 00:09
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 00:08
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 00:08
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.15%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:39
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 00:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 00:39
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 00:08
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 00:39
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.52%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.08%E -5.02%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 00:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 00:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-05 00:15
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-05 00:15
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-05 00:20
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-05-05 00:35
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-05-05 00:15
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 64.45%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.55%11.6%2026-05-05 00:25