Idioma:Português
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Previsão 65.90%1.52odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -3.70%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.16%65.77%65.88%66.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.60%68.49%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Previsão 34.10%2.93odd justa
EV -0.765%
Vantagem -0.263%
Kelly -0.401%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.91
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.18%34.23%34.12%35.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.792.9138.46%36.09%35.84%34.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 65.90%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 34.10%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.91, com valor esperado de -0.765%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.765%E -0.263%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.13%E -0.742%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.47%E -0.864%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.20%E -1.87%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.15%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.52%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.08%E -5.02%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (8)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 00:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.45% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.55% | 11.6% | 2026-05-05 00:25 |