Школа коэффициентов

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Начало: 2026-05-05 00:50 UTC

Итог: Chicago Cubs 5–4 Cincinnati Reds

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Хозяева)

Прогноз 65.90%1.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.81%
Преимущество -1.22%
Kelly -3.70%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.49

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.16%65.77%65.88%66.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.60%68.49%67.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Гости)

Прогноз 34.10%2.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.765%
Преимущество -0.263%
Kelly -0.401%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.91

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.18%34.23%34.12%35.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.772.792.9138.46%36.09%35.84%34.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-05 00:09
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 00:09
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:09
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.765%E -0.263%K -0.401%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 00:40
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 00:09
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 00:09
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.13%E -0.742%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 00:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.47%E -0.864%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 00:09
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 00:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:10
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.20%E -1.87%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 00:09
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:09
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 00:09
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 00:09
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 00:08
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 00:08
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.15%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:39
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 00:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 00:39
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 00:08
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 00:39
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.52%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.08%E -5.02%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 00:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 00:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (8)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-05-05 00:15
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-05 00:15
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-05 00:20
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-05-05 00:35
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-05-05 00:15
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 64.45%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.55%11.6%2026-05-05 00:25