La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 65.90%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -3.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.16%65.77%65.88%66.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.60%68.49%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 34.10%2.93momio equitativo
EV -0.765%
Ventaja -0.263%
Kelly -0.401%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.18%34.23%34.12%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.792.9138.46%36.09%35.84%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.765%E -0.263%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.13%E -0.742%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.47%E -0.864%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.20%E -1.87%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| 888sport | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.11%E -0.381%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Caesars | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.15%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 00:08 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.81%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.52%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.08%E -5.02%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 00:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 00:20 |
| Novig | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 00:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 00:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.45% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.55% | 11.6% | 2026-05-05 00:25 |