Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV +0.261%
Edge +0.144%
Kelly +0.319%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.93%54.95%55.23%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.731.8262.11%58.38%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV +0.152%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.124%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%45.05%44.77%48.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.112.122.2353.19%47.32%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 55.09%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 44.91%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.815. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.820, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.261%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV +0.261%E +0.144%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -11.08%E -5.59%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.841%E -0.467%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-14 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.19%E -0.543%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.03%E -3.40%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.152%E +0.068%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -0.297%E -0.134%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 23:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 23:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 00:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 10:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -15.57%E -8.28%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.19%E -0.543%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.58%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 23:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.19%E -0.543%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.152%E +0.068%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.152%E +0.068%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.22%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.58%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.31%E -7.02%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.19%E -0.543%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09% | -0.1% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-09-14 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.96% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.04% | 12.4% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |