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Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-09-14 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 7–3 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 55.09%1.82odd justa
EV +0.261%
Vantagem +0.144%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.93%54.95%55.23%57.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.711.731.8262.11%58.38%57.80%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 44.91%2.23odd justa
EV +0.152%
Vantagem +0.068%
Kelly +0.124%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.26%45.05%44.77%48.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.882.112.122.2353.19%47.32%47.17%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 55.09%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 44.91%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.815. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.820, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.261%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV +0.261%E +0.144%K +0.319%G +0.001%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -11.08%E -5.59%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 23:40
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.841%E -0.467%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 23:05
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.19%E -0.543%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 23:25
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.03%E -3.40%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.152%E +0.068%K +0.124%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 23:15
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -0.297%E -0.134%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 23:41
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 23:29
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:15
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 22:45
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 10:05
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 23:40
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 23:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -15.57%E -8.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 23:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 20:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:15
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 05:45
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 23:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.19%E -0.543%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:15
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.58%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 23:40
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 23:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 23:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 23:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.19%E -0.543%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.152%E +0.068%K +0.124%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:40
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.152%E +0.068%K +0.124%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.09%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.22%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.58%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.31%E -7.02%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.19%E -0.543%K -0.996%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-09-14 23:40
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-09-14 23:40
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-14 23:35
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-09-14 23:40
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-14 14:05
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-09-14 23:20
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 55.96%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.04%12.4%2026-09-14 23:40