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Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-14 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 55.06%1.82momio equitativo
EV +0.207%
Ventaja +0.114%
Kelly +0.253%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%55.07%55.05%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.731.731.8260.24%57.64%57.80%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 44.94%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.721%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%44.93%44.95%47.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.122.1950.00%47.23%47.17%45.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Chicago Cubs (Local): 55.06%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 44.94%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.816. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.820, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.207%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.207%E +0.114%K +0.253%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 02:40
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.03%E -0.931%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 19:35
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.48%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 19:40
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.58%E -0.721%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.58%E -0.721%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 19:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 23:10
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:15
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 23:00
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 23:44
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.28%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 22:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:14
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.17%E -2.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:15
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 23:40
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:35
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 03:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 03:14
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.07%E -2.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 00:35
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 23:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.50%E -4.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 02:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.60%E -5.18%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 19:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-09-14 01:25
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-14 03:00
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 19:35
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-09-14 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-09-14 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-09-14 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-09-14 03:05
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-09-14 00:05
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-09-13 23:25