StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-14 23:41 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 55.04%1.82faire Quote
EV -0.921%
Vorteil -0.512%
Kelly -1.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.88%55.06%55.04%55.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.661.741.731.8060.24%57.63%57.80%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.96%2.22faire Quote
EV -1.55%
Vorteil -0.706%
Kelly -1.30%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.19

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.30%44.94%44.96%47.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.122.122.1950.00%47.22%47.17%45.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 55.04%; Atlanta Braves (Auswärts): 44.96%. Für Chicago Cubs (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.82. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.80, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.921%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.921%E -0.512%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.19%E -4.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 02:10
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.02%E -1.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.00%E -0.915%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 19:35
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.02%E -1.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.44%E -1.13%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.02%E -1.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.02%E -1.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.57%E -1.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 19:40
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.12%E -1.77%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.12%E -1.77%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 19:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 23:10
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:15
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 23:00
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 23:44
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.22%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 22:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:14
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.14%E -2.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:15
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 23:40
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.32%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.32%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.32%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.32%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.32%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.04%E -2.89%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 00:35
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 23:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.53%E -4.48%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.08%E -4.84%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 02:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.63%E -5.20%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 19:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-09-14 01:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-13 21:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 19:35
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-09-14 02:15
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-09-14 00:05
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-09-13 23:25