Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-14 23:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 55.06%1.82cote équitable
EV +0.207%
Avantage +0.114%
Kelly +0.253%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%55.07%55.05%55.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.731.731.8260.24%57.64%57.80%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.94%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.721%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%44.93%44.95%47.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.1950.00%47.23%47.17%45.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 55.06% ; Atlanta Braves (Visiteur) : 44.94%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.816. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.820, pour une espérance positive de +0.207%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.207%E +0.114%K +0.253%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 02:40
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.03%E -0.931%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 19:35
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.48%E -1.14%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.00%E -1.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 19:40
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.58%E -0.721%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.58%E -0.721%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.93%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 19:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.65%E -2.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 23:10
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:15
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 23:00
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 23:44
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.28%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 02:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.20%E -2.41%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 22:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:14
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.17%E -2.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:15
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 23:40
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:35
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 03:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.72%E -2.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 03:14
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.30%E -3.08%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.07%E -2.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 00:35
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 23:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.62%E -2.68%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.50%E -4.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 02:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.60%E -5.18%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-09-14 01:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-14 03:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 19:35
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-09-14 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-09-14 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-09-14 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-09-14 03:05
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-09-14 00:05
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-09-13 23:25