The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 23:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 57.69%1.73fair odd
EV -0.188%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.258%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.67%57.69%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7362.50%60.05%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 42.31%2.36fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +0.639%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%42.33%42.31%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.51%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 57.69%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 42.31%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.53%E +0.639%K +1.09%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-04 23:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%3.7%2026-08-04 23:05
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:45
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 23:09
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:09
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.27%E -0.985%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:24
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 20:54
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:05
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:55
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:07
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.765%E -0.445%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:39
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 20:20
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:08
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.96%E -3.66%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.08%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.51%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:34
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:24
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:09
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.35%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:59
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -11.16%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 20:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-04 22:45
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-04 23:05
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-08-04 23:09