Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox

Początek: 2026-08-04 23:11 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Boston Red Sox (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.69%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -0.188%
Przewaga -0.109%
Kelly -0.258%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.84%57.67%57.69%59.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.671.671.7362.50%60.05%59.88%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Chicago White Sox (Goście)

Prognoza 42.31%2.36kurs godziwy
EV +1.53%
Przewaga +0.639%
Kelly +1.09%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.30%42.33%42.31%44.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.51%44.44%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Boston Red Sox (Gospodarze): 57.69%; Chicago White Sox (Goście): 42.31%. Dla wyniku Chicago White Sox (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.36. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.53%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.53%E +0.639%K +1.09%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-04 23:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%3.7%2026-08-04 23:05
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:45
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 23:09
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:09
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.27%E -0.985%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:24
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 20:54
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:05
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:55
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:07
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.765%E -0.445%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:39
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 20:20
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:08
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.96%E -3.66%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.08%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.51%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:34
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:24
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:09
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.35%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:59
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -11.16%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 20:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-04 22:45
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-04 23:05
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-08-04 23:09