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Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 57.69%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.188%
Ventaja -0.109%
Kelly -0.258%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.67%57.69%59.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7362.50%60.05%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago White Sox (Visitante)
Predicción 42.31%2.36momio equitativo
EV +1.53%
Ventaja +0.639%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.30%42.33%42.31%44.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.51%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Red Sox (Local): 57.69%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 42.31%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.36. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.53%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.53%E +0.639%K +1.09%G +0.017% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.27%E -0.985%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 20:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 20:54 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:07 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.765%E -0.445%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 20:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:08 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.96%E -3.66%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.08%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.51%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:24 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.35%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| betano_uk | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -11.16%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |