Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 23:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 57.69%1.73cote équitable
EV -0.188%
Avantage -0.109%
Kelly -0.258%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%57.67%57.69%59.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7362.50%60.05%59.88%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.31%2.36cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.639%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.30%42.33%42.31%44.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.51%44.44%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boston Red Sox (Local) : 57.69% ; Chicago White Sox (Visiteur) : 42.31%. Pour Chicago White Sox (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.36. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.53%E +0.639%K +1.09%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-04 23:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%3.7%2026-08-04 23:05
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:45
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 23:09
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:09
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.27%E -0.985%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:24
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 20:54
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:05
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:55
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:07
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.765%E -0.445%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:39
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 20:20
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:08
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.96%E -3.66%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.08%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.51%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:34
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:24
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:09
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.35%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:59
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -11.16%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 20:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-04 22:45
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-04 23:05
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-08-04 23:09