Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-08-04 23:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 57.69%1.73odd justa
EV -0.188%
Vantagem -0.109%
Kelly -0.258%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%57.67%57.69%59.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.7362.50%60.05%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 42.31%2.36odd justa
EV +1.53%
Vantagem +0.639%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.30%42.33%42.31%44.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.51%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 57.69%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 42.31%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.36. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.53%E +0.639%K +1.09%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-04 23:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.687%E +0.289%K +0.498%G +0.003%3.7%2026-08-04 23:05
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.264%E +0.111%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-04 23:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:45
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.582%E -0.248%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.01%E -0.430%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 23:09
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.43%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:09
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.27%E -0.985%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:24
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 20:54
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 23:05
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:55
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:07
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.765%E -0.445%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:39
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.50%E -1.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 20:20
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:08
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.96%E -3.66%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.69%E -4.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.81%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.08%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:10
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.51%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:34
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.188%E -0.109%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:24
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:09
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.65%E -2.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.11%E -4.42%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.35%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.34%E -0.785%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.77%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:09
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:10
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.92%E -1.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:59
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.04%E -4.21%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.47%E -4.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -11.16%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 20:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 23:05
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 20:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-04 22:45
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-04 23:05
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-08-04 23:09