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Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Baltimore Orioles (Хозяева)
Прогноз 43.24%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.558%
Преимущество -0.243%
Kelly -0.429%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.33%43.21%43.24%44.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.122.212.202.3047.17%45.17%45.45%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Philadelphia Phillies (Гости)
Прогноз 56.76%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.80%
Преимущество -1.04%
Kelly -2.46%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.73
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.93%56.79%56.76%58.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.45%59.52%57.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Baltimore Orioles (Хозяева): 43.24%; Philadelphia Phillies (Гости): 56.76%. Для исхода «Baltimore Orioles (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.31. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.30, математическое ожидание — -0.558%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.558%E -0.243%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.558%E -0.243%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.558%E -0.243%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.558%E -0.243%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.04%E -4.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.991%E -0.433%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.991%E -0.433%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.991%E -0.433%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.86%E -0.817%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 17:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.29%E -1.01%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.80%E -1.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 16:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 16:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.77%E -3.48%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.04%E -4.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.31%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.47%E -4.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -8.34%E -3.93%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.47%E -4.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11% | 0.1% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |