Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-02 17:36 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 45.55%2.20cote équitable
EV +0.220%
Avantage +0.100%
Kelly +0.183%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%45.50%45.60%46.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.69%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.45%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%54.50%54.40%55.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.691.751.751.8059.17%57.15%57.14%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 45.55% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 54.45%. Pour Baltimore Orioles (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.195. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.200, pour une espérance positive de +0.220%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV +0.220%E +0.100%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-01 18:05
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.220%E +0.100%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 19:30
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.691%E -0.317%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:04
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:04
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:35
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.00%E -1.11%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:00
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:14
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 21:04
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:44
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:04
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:44
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:49
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:29
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:39
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 18:05
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.79%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:09
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 18:05
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 20:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 20:44
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:48
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 20:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.99%E -4.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-01 19:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-01 18:45
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-08-01 22:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%3.5%2026-08-01 22:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%9.2%2026-08-01 22:25