Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-08-02 17:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 0–8 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 43.24%2.31odd justa
EV -0.558%
Vantagem -0.243%
Kelly -0.429%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.21%43.24%44.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.212.202.3047.17%45.17%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 56.76%1.76odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -2.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.93%56.79%56.76%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.45%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 43.24%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 56.76%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.31. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.30, com valor esperado de -0.558%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.558%E -0.243%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 16:14
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.558%E -0.243%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 15:59
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.558%E -0.243%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 16:35
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.558%E -0.243%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.04%E -4.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.991%E -0.433%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.991%E -0.433%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 16:35
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.991%E -0.433%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 17:35
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:15
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.86%E -0.817%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 17:08
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.29%E -1.01%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.80%E -1.04%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:30
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 16:15
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 16:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 16:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 16:15
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:30
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 16:33
SportsBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:30
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:30
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:29
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:30
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:29
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:15
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:19
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:34
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:14
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:29
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:14
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.20%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.77%E -3.48%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 16:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.04%E -4.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.31%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 17:29
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:15
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 17:34
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:25
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.04%E -3.28%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.47%E -4.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 17:09
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -8.34%E -3.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.47%E -4.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 17:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%0.1%2026-08-02 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-08-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-02 17:35
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-02 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-02 17:35
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-02 16:30
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-02 17:35
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-08-02 17:35
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-02 16:55
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-08-02 17:35