Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-02 17:36 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 45.55%2.20odd justa
EV +0.220%
Vantagem +0.100%
Kelly +0.183%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.50%45.60%46.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.69%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 54.45%1.84odd justa
EV -2.00%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%54.50%54.40%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.751.751.8059.17%57.15%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 45.55%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 54.45%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.195. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.200, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.220%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV +0.220%E +0.100%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-01 18:05
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.220%E +0.100%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 19:30
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.691%E -0.317%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:04
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:04
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:35
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.00%E -1.11%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:00
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:14
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 21:04
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:44
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:04
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:44
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:49
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:29
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:39
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 18:05
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.79%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:09
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 18:05
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 20:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 20:44
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:48
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 20:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.99%E -4.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 20:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-01 19:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-01 18:45
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-08-01 22:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%3.5%2026-08-01 22:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%9.2%2026-08-01 22:25