Idioma:Español
Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies
Resultado del partido
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Predicción 45.55%2.20momio equitativo
EV +0.220%
Ventaja +0.100%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.50%45.60%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.69%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 54.45%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.50%54.40%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.751.751.8059.17%57.15%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 45.55%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 54.45%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.195. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.200, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.220%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV +0.220%E +0.100%K +0.183%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-01 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.220%E +0.100%K +0.183%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 19:30 |
| GTbets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.691%E -0.317%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.00%E -1.11%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 18:18 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| Bovada | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 21:04 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 21:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 18:05 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 18:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.79%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| Betsson | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 21:30 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 18:05 |
| ReBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:48 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.99%E -4.73%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 19:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 18:45 |
| Novig | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 22:25 |