StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-02 17:36 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Baltimore Orioles (Heim)

Prognose 45.55%2.20faire Quote
EV +0.220%
Vorteil +0.100%
Kelly +0.183%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.30%45.50%45.60%46.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.69%47.62%45.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.45%1.84faire Quote
EV -2.00%
Vorteil -1.11%
Kelly -2.50%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.66%54.50%54.40%55.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.691.751.751.8059.17%57.15%57.14%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Baltimore Orioles (Heim): 45.55%; Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts): 54.45%. Für Baltimore Orioles (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.195. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.200 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.220%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV +0.220%E +0.100%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-01 18:05
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.220%E +0.100%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 19:30
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.691%E -0.317%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:04
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:04
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.60%E -0.742%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:35
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.00%E -1.11%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:00
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.957%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:14
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 21:04
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:44
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:04
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:44
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:49
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:29
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:39
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 18:05
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.79%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 18:09
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:05
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.18%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 18:05
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 20:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 20:44
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:48
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.98%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 20:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.99%E -4.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 20:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-01 19:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-01 18:45
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-08-01 22:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%3.5%2026-08-01 22:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%9.2%2026-08-01 22:25