Language:English
Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 70.07%1.43fair odd
EV -0.495%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.11%70.04%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.371.4276.92%73.26%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 29.93%3.34fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.515%
Kelly +0.729%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.89%29.96%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.66%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 70.07%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 29.93%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.90%E -6.85%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.75%E +0.515%K +0.729%G +0.013% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.645%E -0.194%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.84%E -0.561%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.96%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 30.04%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.495%E -0.349%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 08:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 07:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 16:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.50%E -5.68%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.72%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 16:11 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-07-23 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
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