La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Predicción 70.07%1.43momio equitativo
EV -0.495%
Ventaja -0.349%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%70.11%70.04%72.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.371.4276.92%73.26%72.99%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 29.93%3.34momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.515%
Kelly +0.729%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%29.89%29.96%31.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.66%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.90%E -6.85%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.75%E +0.515%K +0.729%G +0.013% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.645%E -0.194%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Everygame | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Caesars | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.84%E -0.561%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.96%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 30.04%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.495%E -0.349%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 08:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 14:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:05 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 07:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 14:05 |
| betano_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 16:13 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.50%E -5.68%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 16:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.72%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 14:35 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 16:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 16:11 |
| Polymarket | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| BetOpenly | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 16:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-07-23 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 16:15 |