默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres

开赛时间: 2026-07-23 16:16 UTC

最终结果: Atlanta Braves 6–5 San Diego Padres

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 70.07%1.43公平赔率
EV -0.495%
优势 -0.349%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
68.18%70.11%70.04%72.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.371.4276.92%73.26%72.99%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 29.93%3.34公平赔率
EV +1.75%
优势 +0.515%
Kelly +0.729%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.66%29.89%29.96%31.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.66%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Braves (主队):70.07%;San Diego Padres (客队):29.93%。 对于“San Diego Padres (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.34。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.40,对应+1.75%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.90%E -6.85%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.75%E +0.515%K +0.729%G +0.013%6.3%2026-07-23 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.645%E -0.194%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-23 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-23 16:10
Everygame🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 16:10
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 16:14
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.84%E -0.561%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.96%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 30.04%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-23 16:14
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 16:10
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:14
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 16:14
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:14
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 16:10
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.495%E -0.349%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-23 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 15:55
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 07:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:15
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 14:05
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:05
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 07:19
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 14:05
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:14
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.50%E -5.68%K -23.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 16:14
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.72%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 14:35
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:05
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-07-23 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-23 16:11
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-23 16:10
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-07-23 16:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-07-23 16:15