L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-23 16:16 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 6–5 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 70.07%1.43cote équitable
EV -0.495%
Avantage -0.349%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%70.11%70.04%72.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.371.4276.92%73.26%72.99%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.93%3.34cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.515%
Kelly +0.729%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.66%29.89%29.96%31.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.66%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.90%E -6.85%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.75%E +0.515%K +0.729%G +0.013%6.3%2026-07-23 16:14
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.645%E -0.194%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:14
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-23 16:10
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-23 16:10
Everygame1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 16:10
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 16:14
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.84%E -0.561%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 16:15
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.96%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 30.04%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-23 16:14
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 16:14
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 16:14
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 16:10
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 16:10
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:14
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:15
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:15
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 16:14
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:14
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 16:10
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.495%E -0.349%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-23 14:55
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 15:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 07:04
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:05
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:10
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 14:05
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:15
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 14:35
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 07:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 14:05
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:14
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:13
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.50%E -5.68%K -23.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 16:14
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.72%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 14:35
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:05
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:05
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-07-23 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-23 16:11
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-23 16:10
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-07-23 16:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-07-23 16:15