La scuola delle quote

Atlanta Braves v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-07-23 16:16 UTC

Finale: Atlanta Braves 6–5 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Casa)

Previsione 70.07%1.43quota equa
EV -0.495%
Vantaggio -0.349%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.18%70.11%70.04%72.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.371.371.4276.92%73.26%72.99%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.93%3.34quota equa
EV +1.75%
Vantaggio +0.515%
Kelly +0.729%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.66%29.89%29.96%31.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.66%31.75%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.90%E -6.85%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.75%E +0.515%K +0.729%G +0.013%6.3%2026-07-23 16:14
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.645%E -0.194%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:14
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-23 16:10
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -0.944%E -0.285%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-23 16:10
Everygame1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 16:10
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.24%E -0.377%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 16:14
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.84%E -0.561%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 16:15
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.96%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 30.04%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-23 16:14
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -2.44%E -0.749%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 16:14
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.74%E -0.843%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 16:14
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 16:10
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 16:10
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:14
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:15
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:15
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 16:14
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:14
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 16:10
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.495%E -0.349%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-23 14:55
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 15:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 07:04
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 14:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:05
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:10
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 16:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.73%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 14:05
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:15
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 14:35
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.00%E -2.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 16:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 07:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.70%E -3.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.10%E -4.55%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 16:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 14:05
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:14
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:13
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.50%E -5.68%K -23.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 16:14
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.72%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 14:35
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.90%E -1.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 16:05
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:05
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.40%E -4.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 16:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-07-23 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-23 16:15
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-23 16:11
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-23 16:10
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-07-23 16:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-07-23 16:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-07-23 16:15
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-07-23 16:15