Language:English
Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 60.46%1.65fair odd
EV -0.849%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.31%60.45%62.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.34%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 39.54%2.53fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.632%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.62%39.69%39.55%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.422.5744.44%41.43%41.32%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 60.46%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 39.54%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV +1.62%E +0.632%K +1.03%G +0.017% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV +0.833%E +0.327%K +0.537%G +0.004% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +0.437%E +0.172%K +0.284%G +0.001% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV +0.437%E +0.172%K +0.284%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.749%E -0.298%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 23:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.849%E -0.518%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.87%E -3.38%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-06 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 23:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |