Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

2026-08-06 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 58.71%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.93%58.68%58.67%59.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.6763.69%61.35%61.35%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 41.29%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.904%
Ventaja -0.377%
Kelly -0.646%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.30%41.32%41.33%42.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.36%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atlanta Braves (Local): 58.71%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 41.29%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.40, con un valor esperado de -0.904%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.904%E -0.377%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 20:25
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.13%EV -1.32%E -0.551%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 23:14
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.73%E -0.727%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 20:30
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.32%E -0.551%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.73%E -0.727%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.73%E -0.727%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 18:45
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.56%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.73%E -0.727%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:45
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.56%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-06 01:30
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:30
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:59
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 23:35
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.27%E -2.76%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:54
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.27%E -2.76%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 20:30
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 19:05
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 21:45
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 21:45
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:39
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.62%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:29
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:28
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.14%E -0.904%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.14%E -0.904%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-08-06 01:30
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-06 00:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-06 01:35
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-08-06 01:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-08-05 21:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-08-06 00:30
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-08-05 21:45