النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-08-06 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atlanta Braves 11–3 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Atlanta Braves (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.46%1.65السعر العادل
EV -0.849%
الأفضلية -0.518%
Kelly -1.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.14%60.31%60.45%62.38%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.34%63.69%60.98%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.54%2.53السعر العادل
EV +1.62%
الأفضلية +0.632%
Kelly +1.03%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.62%39.69%39.55%41.86%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.412.422.5744.44%41.43%41.32%38.91%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Atlanta Braves (المضيف)⁩: ⁨60.46%⁩؛ ⁨Miami Marlins (الضيف)⁩: ⁨39.54%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Miami Marlins (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.53⁩. عرضت 4 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.57⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.62%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV +1.62%E +0.632%K +1.03%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-06 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV +0.833%E +0.327%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.3%2026-08-06 23:00
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +0.437%E +0.172%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.5%2026-08-06 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV +0.437%E +0.172%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.9%2026-08-06 23:10
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.749%E -0.298%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 23:05
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-06 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 22:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 23:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 23:10
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:00
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:20
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 22:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:14
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.849%E -0.518%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.87%E -3.38%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:14
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:15
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-06 23:10
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-06 23:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-06 23:15
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-06 23:14
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-08-06 23:15