Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Początek: 2026-08-06 23:16 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Atlanta Braves 11–3 Miami Marlins

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Atlanta Braves (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.46%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -0.849%
Przewaga -0.518%
Kelly -1.33%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%60.31%60.45%62.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.34%63.69%60.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Miami Marlins (Goście)

Prognoza 39.54%2.53kurs godziwy
EV +1.62%
Przewaga +0.632%
Kelly +1.03%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.57

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.62%39.69%39.55%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.412.422.5744.44%41.43%41.32%38.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Atlanta Braves (Gospodarze): 60.46%; Miami Marlins (Goście): 39.54%. Dla wyniku Miami Marlins (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.53. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.57, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.62%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV +1.62%E +0.632%K +1.03%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-06 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV +0.833%E +0.327%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.3%2026-08-06 23:00
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +0.437%E +0.172%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.5%2026-08-06 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV +0.437%E +0.172%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.9%2026-08-06 23:10
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.749%E -0.298%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 23:05
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-06 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 22:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 23:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 23:10
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:00
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:20
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 22:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:14
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.849%E -0.518%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.87%E -3.38%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:14
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:15
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-06 23:10
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-06 23:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-06 23:15
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-06 23:14
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-08-06 23:15