默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

开赛时间: 2026-08-06 23:16 UTC

最终结果: Atlanta Braves 11–3 Miami Marlins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 60.46%1.65公平赔率
EV -0.849%
优势 -0.518%
Kelly -1.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.64

博彩公司预测分布
58.14%60.31%60.45%62.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.34%63.69%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 39.54%2.53公平赔率
EV +1.62%
优势 +0.632%
Kelly +1.03%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 2.57

博彩公司预测分布
37.62%39.69%39.55%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.412.422.5744.44%41.43%41.32%38.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Braves (主队):60.46%;Miami Marlins (客队):39.54%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.53。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.57,对应+1.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV +1.62%E +0.632%K +1.03%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-06 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV +0.833%E +0.327%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.3%2026-08-06 23:00
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +0.437%E +0.172%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.5%2026-08-06 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV +0.437%E +0.172%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.9%2026-08-06 23:10
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.749%E -0.298%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 23:05
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-06 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.94%E -0.780%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 22:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 23:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 23:10
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:00
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:20
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 22:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:14
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.849%E -0.518%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.87%E -3.38%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:14
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:15
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 23:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-06 23:10
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-06 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-06 23:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 23:15
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-06 23:15
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-06 23:14
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-08-06 23:15