Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos

2026-09-15 00:15 UTC — NFL

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Previsão 57.11%1.75odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.689%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%57.11%57.14%58.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.511.671.671.7366.23%59.91%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denver Broncos (Visitante)

Previsão 42.89%2.33odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.592%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.77%42.89%42.86%45.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.212.202.3050.76%45.18%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 57.11%; Denver Broncos (Visitante): 42.89%. Para Kansas City Chiefs (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.73, com valor esperado de -1.19%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -4.79%E -2.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 20:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.79%E -2.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 03:29
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 10:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:00
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:04
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 11:04
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 14:20
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 01:03
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 06:34
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:15
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:14
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -2.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -2.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:14
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 14:11
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 14:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 00:14
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 08:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 12:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:03
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 02:43
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.22%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 08:07
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 02:14
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 02:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%EV -9.76%E -6.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 02:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.61%EV -13.76%E -9.11%K -26.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.39%EV -15.51%E -7.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-09 10:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-09-09 10:35
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-09-09 17:14
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-09-09 17:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-02 06:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40