Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos

Início: 2026-09-15 00:16 UTC

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Previsão 53.92%1.85odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.721%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.22%53.79%53.97%54.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.761.771.8359.52%56.66%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denver Broncos (Visitante)

Previsão 46.08%2.17odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -0.873%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.10%46.21%46.03%47.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.052.052.1351.81%48.79%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 53.92%; Denver Broncos (Visitante): 46.08%. Para Kansas City Chiefs (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.85. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.83, com valor esperado de -1.32%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -1.32%E -0.721%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -7.39%E -3.68%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.32%E -0.721%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 00:15
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 00:15
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -6.47%E -3.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 00:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:00
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:10
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:15
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:55
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.93%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 00:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.48%E -1.94%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:05
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.08%E -2.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 23:50
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.08%E -2.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:10
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:49
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 00:15
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.93%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.09%E -2.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.09%E -2.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:55
Caesars🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.86%E -0.873%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 21:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.62%E -2.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 23:15
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.62%E -2.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.01%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.93%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 00:14
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 00:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 00:05
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -9.69%E -4.94%K -10.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 23:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 23:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 00:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-09-14 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-15 00:10
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-09-14 23:42
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-15 00:15
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-15 00:15
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-09-15 00:13
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-09-15 00:15