Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos

2026-09-15 00:15 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Predicción 57.11%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.689%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%57.11%57.14%58.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.671.671.7366.23%59.91%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denver Broncos (Visitante)

Predicción 42.89%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%42.89%42.86%45.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.212.202.3050.76%45.18%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 57.11%; Denver Broncos (Visitante): 42.89%. Para Kansas City Chiefs (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.75. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.73, con un valor esperado de -1.19%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -4.79%E -2.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 20:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.79%E -2.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 03:29
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 10:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:00
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:04
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 11:04
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 14:20
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 01:03
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 06:34
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:15
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:14
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -2.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -2.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:14
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 14:11
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 14:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 00:14
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 08:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 12:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:03
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 02:43
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.22%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 08:07
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 02:14
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 02:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%EV -9.76%E -6.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 02:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.61%EV -13.76%E -9.11%K -26.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.39%EV -15.51%E -7.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-09 10:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-09-09 10:35
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-09-09 17:14
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-09-09 17:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-02 06:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40