La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos

2026-09-15 00:15 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Predicción 57.54%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -4.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%57.71%57.59%59.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.641.651.6968.97%60.87%60.61%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Broncos (Visitante)

Predicción 42.46%2.36momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.795%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.026%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%42.29%42.41%43.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.262.252.4049.50%44.33%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.91%E +0.795%K +1.36%G +0.026%3.8%2026-07-25 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV +0.633%E +0.267%K +0.462%G +0.003%4.3%2026-05-16 20:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV +0.633%E +0.267%K +0.462%G +0.003%4.3%2026-05-16 20:29
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +0.209%E +0.088%K +0.153%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 08:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.216%E -0.092%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 20:30
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.216%E -0.092%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-23 03:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 20:31
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 20:30
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:19
Caesars1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.61%E -1.59%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 08:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 08:20
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-24 10:05
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 16:53
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 16:54
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 16:54
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 03:29
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 02:29
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 08:20
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 16:20
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 16:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:59
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.16%E -2.79%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 02:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 22:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 21:20
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 20:30
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 11:50
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.01%E -3.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.01%E -3.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 21:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.86%E -3.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 58.21%EV -16.57%E -11.43%K -36.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 41.79%EV -14.23%E -7.04%K -13.95%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-22 19:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-26 03:10
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%8.4%2026-07-22 08:20