L’École des cotes

Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos

2026-09-15 00:15 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Prévision 57.54%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.70%57.71%57.59%59.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.641.651.6968.97%60.87%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denver Broncos (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.46%2.36cote équitable
EV +1.91%
Avantage +0.795%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.15%42.29%42.41%43.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.262.252.4049.50%44.33%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.91%E +0.795%K +1.36%G +0.026%3.8%2026-07-25 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV +0.633%E +0.267%K +0.462%G +0.003%4.3%2026-05-16 20:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV +0.633%E +0.267%K +0.462%G +0.003%4.3%2026-05-16 20:29
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +0.209%E +0.088%K +0.153%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 08:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.216%E -0.092%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 20:30
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.216%E -0.092%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-23 03:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 20:31
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 20:30
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:19
Caesars1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.61%E -1.59%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 08:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 08:20
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-24 10:05
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 16:53
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 16:54
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 16:54
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 03:29
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 02:29
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 08:20
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 16:20
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 16:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:59
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.16%E -2.79%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 02:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 22:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 21:20
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 20:30
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 11:50
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.01%E -3.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.01%E -3.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 21:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.86%E -3.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 58.21%EV -16.57%E -11.43%K -36.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 41.79%EV -14.23%E -7.04%K -13.95%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-22 19:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-07-24 18:55
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%8.4%2026-07-22 08:20