Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos

2026-09-15 00:15 UTC — NFL

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44 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

58%

42%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kansas City Chiefs (Casa)

Previsione 57.54%1.74quota equa

EV -2.76%

Vantaggio -1.63%

Kelly -4.00%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

56.70%57.71%57.59%59.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.451.641.651.6968.97%60.87%60.61%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denver Broncos (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.46%2.36quota equa

EV +1.91%

Vantaggio +0.795%

Kelly +1.36%

Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

40.15%42.29%42.41%43.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

2.022.262.252.4049.50%44.33%44.44%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Bovada	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.91%E +0.795%K +1.36%G +0.026%	3.8%	2026-07-25 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV +0.633%E +0.267%K +0.462%G +0.003%	4.3%	2026-05-16 20:30
Coral	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV +0.633%E +0.267%K +0.462%G +0.003%	4.3%	2026-05-16 20:29
DraftKings	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +0.209%E +0.088%K +0.153%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-22 08:20
BetMGM	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.216%E -0.092%K -0.160%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-16 20:30
GTbets	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.216%E -0.092%K -0.160%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-23 03:29
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-16 20:31
Neds	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-16 20:30
Unibet (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-10 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (NL)	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-10 11:10
Svenska Spel	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-10 11:19
Caesars	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.61%E -1.59%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-22 08:20
ReBet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-22 08:20
Coolbet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-22 08:20
theScore Bet	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-05-14 13:50
Hard Rock Bet	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-24 10:05
LowVig.ag	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-17 16:53
BetOnline.ag	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-17 16:54
BetUS	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-17 16:54
Fanatics	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-23 03:29
TAB	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-14 02:29
Unibet (UK)	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-22 08:20
Betr (AU)	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-21 16:20
FanDuel	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-29 23:00
MyBookie.ag	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-21 16:40
SportsBet	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-29 22:59
Marathon Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.16%E -2.79%K -5.09%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-19 19:40
PlayUp	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-21 02:10
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 22:59
William Hill	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 21:20
Bet Right	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-21 16:20
Tipico (DE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-16 20:30
Betclic (FR)	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.59%E -2.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 11:50
NordicBet	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.01%E -3.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-22 08:20
Betsson	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.01%E -3.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-22 08:20
LeoVegas	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-25 21:10
BetRivers	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.86%E -3.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-10 11:10
NetBet (FR)	1.45I 68.97%NM 58.21%EV -16.57%E -11.43%K -36.82%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 41.79%EV -14.23%E -7.04%K -13.95%G +0.000%	18.5%	2026-07-22 19:24

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Kalshi	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%	2.2%	2026-07-26 03:10
Smarkets	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%	8.4%	2026-07-22 08:20