StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos

2026-09-15 00:15 UTC — NFL

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Chiefs (Heim)

Prognose 57.11%1.75faire Quote
EV -1.19%
Vorteil -0.689%
Kelly -1.63%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.83%57.11%57.14%58.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.511.671.671.7366.23%59.91%59.88%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Denver Broncos (Auswärts)

Prognose 42.89%2.33faire Quote
EV -1.36%
Vorteil -0.592%
Kelly -1.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.77%42.89%42.86%45.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.972.212.202.3050.76%45.18%45.45%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Kansas City Chiefs (Heim): 57.11%; Denver Broncos (Auswärts): 42.89%. Für Kansas City Chiefs (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.75. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.73, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.19%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -4.79%E -2.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 20:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.19%E -0.689%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:14
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.79%E -2.16%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 03:29
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 10:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:00
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 17:04
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 11:04
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 14:20
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 01:03
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 06:34
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:15
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:14
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -2.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.05%E -2.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -2.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:14
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 14:11
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 14:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 00:14
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 08:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 12:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:03
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.36%E -0.592%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 02:43
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.51%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.22%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 08:07
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.61%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 02:14
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 02:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%EV -9.76%E -6.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 02:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.61%EV -13.76%E -9.11%K -26.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.39%EV -15.51%E -7.88%K -15.99%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-09 10:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-09-09 10:35
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-09-09 17:14
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-09-09 17:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-09 14:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-02 06:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40