StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-15 00:16 UTC

Endstand: Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Chiefs (Heim)

Prognose 53.92%1.85faire Quote
EV -1.32%
Vorteil -0.721%
Kelly -1.59%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.22%53.79%53.97%54.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.681.761.771.8359.52%56.66%56.50%54.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Denver Broncos (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.08%2.17faire Quote
EV -1.86%
Vorteil -0.873%
Kelly -1.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.13

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.10%46.21%46.03%47.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.932.052.052.1351.81%48.79%48.78%46.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Kansas City Chiefs (Heim): 53.92%; Denver Broncos (Auswärts): 46.08%. Für Kansas City Chiefs (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.85. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.83, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.32%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -1.32%E -0.721%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -7.39%E -3.68%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.32%E -0.721%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 00:15
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 00:15
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -6.47%E -3.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 00:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:00
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:10
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:15
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:55
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.93%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 00:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.48%E -1.94%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:05
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.08%E -2.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 23:50
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.08%E -2.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 00:10
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:49
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 00:15
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.93%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.09%E -2.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.09%E -2.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:55
Caesars🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.86%E -0.873%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 21:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.62%E -2.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 23:15
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.62%E -2.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.01%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.93%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 00:14
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 00:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 00:05
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -9.69%E -4.94%K -10.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 23:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.85%E -3.92%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 23:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 00:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-09-14 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-15 00:10
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-09-14 23:42
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-15 00:15
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-15 00:15
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-09-15 00:13
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-09-15 00:15