Language:English
Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots
Head to Head
Buffalo Bills (Local)
Prediction 68.54%1.46fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -8.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%68.47%68.54%69.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.381.381.4180.00%72.61%72.46%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New England Patriots (Visit)
Prediction 31.46%3.18fair odd
EV -0.599%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.278%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.09%31.53%31.46%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.103.1636.36%32.98%32.26%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bills (Local): 68.54%; New England Patriots (Visit): 31.46%. For New England Patriots (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.16, with an expected value of -0.599%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -3.35%E -2.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -7.52%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 20:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-22 21:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.88%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.40%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 23:32 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.914%E -0.290%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-22 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 22:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-23 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 23:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.06%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -0.599%E -0.190%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 19:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.75%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-22 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79% | 2.5% | 2026-09-24 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13% | 3.0% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51% | 5.0% | 2026-09-23 22:23 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01% | 8.2% | 2026-09-22 21:30 |