语言:简体中文
Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Buffalo Bills (主队)
预测 73.53%1.36公平赔率
EV -1.47%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -4.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.34
博彩公司预测分布
70.79%73.31%73.55%75.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.291.291.3484.75%77.32%77.52%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
New England Patriots (客队)
预测 26.47%3.78公平赔率
EV +1.12%
优势 +0.292%
Kelly +0.396%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 3.82
博彩公司预测分布
24.95%26.69%26.45%29.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.603.603.8231.75%27.79%27.78%26.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Buffalo Bills (主队)：73.53%；New England Patriots (客队)：26.47%。 对于“New England Patriots (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.78。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.82，对应+1.12%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +1.12%E +0.292%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%EV +0.588%E +0.155%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.588%E +0.155%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 17:22 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.35%E -5.84%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -2.32%E -0.630%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.85%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.85%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.38%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 11:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.38%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 19:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -4.97%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.55%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.45%EV -5.77%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -1.47%E -1.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 16:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 13:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.06%EV -13.24%E -11.22%K -73.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.94%EV -15.29%E -4.78%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -16.62%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 16:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 0.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.28% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.72% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 15:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |