StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots

Spielbeginn: 2026-10-04 17:02 UTC

Endstand: Buffalo Bills 26–29 New England Patriots

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Buffalo Bills (Heim)

Prognose 73.53%1.36faire Quote
EV -1.47%
Vorteil -1.10%
Kelly -4.32%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.79%73.31%73.55%75.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.181.291.291.3484.75%77.32%77.52%74.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

New England Patriots (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.47%3.78faire Quote
EV +1.12%
Vorteil +0.292%
Kelly +0.396%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.95%26.69%26.45%29.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.153.603.603.8231.75%27.79%27.78%26.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Buffalo Bills (Heim): 73.53%; New England Patriots (Auswärts): 26.47%. Für New England Patriots (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.78. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.82 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.12%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +1.12%E +0.292%K +0.396%G +0.004%4.9%2026-10-04 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%EV +0.588%E +0.155%K +0.210%G +0.001%2.1%2026-10-04 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.588%E +0.155%K +0.210%G +0.001%3.8%2026-10-04 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 18:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 18:45
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-02 17:22
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:40
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:55
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:55
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.35%E -5.84%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -2.32%E -0.630%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.85%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 16:54
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.85%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 16:55
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.38%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 11:44
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.38%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 19:53
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 18:45
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 18:45
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 18:45
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:10
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 02:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 15:05
TAB🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -4.97%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.55%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.45%EV -5.77%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 16:59
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -1.47%E -1.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-04 16:05
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 16:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 17:00
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 18:40
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 16:13
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 17:24
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 73.06%EV -13.24%E -11.22%K -73.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.94%EV -15.29%E -4.78%K -6.95%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-03 18:41
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -16.62%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 16:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-10-03 23:05
Novig◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-04 16:55
BetOpenly◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.28%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.72%0.6%2026-10-04 16:59
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-10-04 17:00
Polymarket◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-10-04 15:59
ProphetX◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-10-04 17:00
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-10-04 17:00